Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 3.236569 3.789628 4.378327 5.048500 5.787156 6.573434 7.470629
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.472212 3.237660 4.113063 5.174862 6.414478 7.803078 9.463045
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.921080 2.800924 3.876394 5.255508 6.944908 8.916275 11.359051
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.443991 2.352798 3.540245 5.145744 7.200558 9.685961 12.861365
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.082480 1.977971 3.228386 5.006025 7.373751 10.329677 14.206689
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.841026 1.719365 3.025376 4.968048 7.646955 11.082001 15.686245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.647789 1.489993 2.824625 4.898863 7.853698 11.736216 17.042328
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.560388 1.416190 2.840792 5.128181 8.464056 12.923606 19.101315
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.452320 1.279233 2.736466 5.162926 8.793235 13.736862 20.683563
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.403913 1.245720 2.793663 5.439751 9.470727 15.030846 22.920745
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.353630 1.196026 2.814794 5.656047 10.062140 16.216163 25.031815
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.295162 1.112722 2.764662 5.750132 10.470208 17.151601 26.819159
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.224349 0.980257 2.611146 5.669063 10.620029 17.742846 28.173728
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.187434 0.922919 2.592619 5.810788 11.112766 18.830400 30.229818
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.152284 0.857199 2.547581 5.900519 11.523772 19.806384 32.145918
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.109706 0.747143 2.393196 5.782578 11.597320 20.290036 33.379712
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.075304 0.642023 2.230028 5.631468 11.604630 20.669381 34.466204
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.053914 0.571311 2.131899 5.590480 11.784644 21.302890 35.918117
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.036546 0.501454 2.022048 5.515458 11.900367 21.837288 37.231650
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031722 0.496284 2.075524 5.764476 12.569274 23.220417 39.786943
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022794 0.454924 2.026316 5.802201 12.875985 24.053997 41.554646
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.020559 0.459523 2.103624 6.102349 13.642792 25.605905 44.387233
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017391 0.453088 2.148625 6.336610 14.299554 26.996606 46.998926